As Donald Trump signals a possible comeback, the Brazil far right appears more divided than ever, revealing the cracks in Lula’s fragile political game, already shaken by a leaderless but influential reactionary bloc.
A leaderless but potent right
Recent reports confirm that the Brazil far right swings between Trumpist nostalgia and local strongmen ambitions. Hardcore Bolsonaro loyalists clash with emerging regional figures, yet no single leader can unify this restless base. Meanwhile, Lula manoeuvres on a political volcano.
Instability revived by Trump
Trump’s threats and incendiary speeches breathe new life into a radicalized fringe. The military, always wary, stands ready to act as power broker. The spectre of another January 8th moment lingers in the background.
Conclusion: The myth of normalization
Brazil’s political order remains a giant with feet of clay. Internal divisions, economic strain and Trump’s disruptive influence make any lasting calm unlikely.